* Cantinho Satkeys

Refresh History
  • JPratas: try65hytr A Todos  101yd91 k7y8j0
    22 de Novembro de 2024, 02:46
  • j.s.: try65hytr a todos  4tj97u<z 4tj97u<z
    21 de Novembro de 2024, 18:43
  • FELISCUNHA: dgtgtr  pessoal   49E09B4F
    20 de Novembro de 2024, 12:26
  • JPratas: try65hytr Pessoal  4tj97u<z classic k7y8j0
    19 de Novembro de 2024, 02:06
  • FELISCUNHA: ghyt74   49E09B4F  e bom fim de semana  4tj97u<z
    16 de Novembro de 2024, 11:11
  • j.s.: bom fim de semana  49E09B4F
    15 de Novembro de 2024, 17:29
  • j.s.: try65hytr a todos  4tj97u<z
    15 de Novembro de 2024, 17:29
  • FELISCUNHA: ghyt74  pessoal   49E09B4F
    15 de Novembro de 2024, 10:07
  • JPratas: try65hytr A Todos  4tj97u<z classic k7y8j0
    15 de Novembro de 2024, 03:53
  • FELISCUNHA: dgtgtr   49E09B4F
    12 de Novembro de 2024, 12:25
  • JPratas: try65hytr Pessoal  classic k7y8j0 yu7gh8
    12 de Novembro de 2024, 01:59
  • j.s.: try65hytr a todos  4tj97u<z
    11 de Novembro de 2024, 19:31
  • cereal killa: try65hytr pessoal  2dgh8i
    11 de Novembro de 2024, 18:16
  • FELISCUNHA: ghyt74   49E09B4F  e bom fim de semana  4tj97u<z
    09 de Novembro de 2024, 11:43
  • JPratas: try65hytr Pessoal  classic k7y8j0
    08 de Novembro de 2024, 01:42
  • j.s.: try65hytr a todos  49E09B4F
    07 de Novembro de 2024, 18:10
  • JPratas: dgtgtr Pessoal  49E09B4F k7y8j0
    06 de Novembro de 2024, 17:19
  • FELISCUNHA: Votos de um santo domingo para todo o auditório  4tj97u<z
    03 de Novembro de 2024, 10:49
  • j.s.: bom fim de semana  43e5r6 49E09B4F
    02 de Novembro de 2024, 08:37
  • j.s.: ghyt74 a todos  4tj97u<z
    02 de Novembro de 2024, 08:36

Autor Tópico: The Art of Uncertainty How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck [Audiobook]  (Lida 39 vezes)

0 Membros e 1 Visitante estão a ver este tópico.

Online mitsumi

  • Moderador Global
  • ***
  • Mensagens: 117409
  • Karma: +0/-0
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck [Audiobook]


English | ASIN: B0D388RTQ9 | 2024 | 10 hours and 52 minutes | M4B@128 kbps | 592 MB


We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know.

Download link

Say "Thank You"

rapidgator.net:
Citar
https://rapidgator.net/file/1b7244e5c5af9285247a1d5c9ee0fb1b/rfktv.The.Art.of.Uncertainty.How.to.Navigate.Chance.Ignorance.Risk.and.Luck.Audiobook.m4b.html

ddownload.com:
Citar
https://ddownload.com/jk9um10if80e/rfktv.The.Art.of.Uncertainty.How.to.Navigate.Chance.Ignorance.Risk.and.Luck.Audiobook.m4b